{"id":10912,"date":"2022-01-27T11:57:00","date_gmt":"2022-01-27T09:57:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.clgj9277.odns.fr\/?p=10912"},"modified":"2023-10-26T12:03:27","modified_gmt":"2023-10-26T10:03:27","slug":"point-dentree-sur-les-obligations-dentreprises-des-pays-emergents","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fervent-galileo.51-75-243-206.plesk.page\/fr\/point-dentree-sur-les-obligations-dentreprises-des-pays-emergents\/","title":{"rendered":"Point d&rsquo;entr\u00e9e sur les obligations d&rsquo;entreprises des pays \u00e9mergents ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Les obligations d&rsquo;entreprises des pays \u00e9mergents ont connu ces derniers mois une correction, qui s&rsquo;est encore acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e en ce d\u00e9but d&rsquo;ann\u00e9e 2022.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nous voyons trois raisons principales \u00e0 cette baisse :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Le durcissement annonc\u00e9 de la politique mon\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricaine, avec d\u00e9sormais 4 hausses de taux directeur anticip\u00e9es par les investisseurs en 2022, et un discours nettement plus \u00ab hawkish \u00bb adopt\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment afin de lutter contre l&rsquo;inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; L&rsquo;atterrissage programm\u00e9 de l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie chinoise et la reprise en main du secteur immobilier avec les nombreuses faillites qui ont touch\u00e9 plusieurs acteurs. D&rsquo;autres secteurs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9galement concern\u00e9s par des durcissements de r\u00e9glementation en Chine (internet, jeux en ligne, \u00e9ducation), entrainant une forte baisse de ces secteurs en bourse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Et, plus r\u00e9cemment, la recrudescence des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques entre la Russie et les pays de l&rsquo;OTAN au sujet de l&rsquo;Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Depuis le 1er janvier 2022, le fonds Anaxis EM 2024 est en baisse de 0,51% (part institutionnelle en USD au 21\/01). A titre de comparaison, l&rsquo;indice d&rsquo;obligations d&rsquo;entreprises Investment Grade des pays \u00e9mergents (EMIC) perd 1,72% et l&rsquo;indice High Yield (HYEF) 2,50% (-2,10% pour le segment double-B). Des fonds \u00e0 maturit\u00e9 comparables affichent \u00e9galement une perte significativement sup\u00e9rieure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Le fonds Anaxis EM 2024 a bien r\u00e9sist\u00e9 dans cette p\u00e9riode et offre un point d&rsquo;entr\u00e9e int\u00e9ressant pour les investisseurs cherchant \u00e0 diversifier leurs sources de rendements tout en maintenant un risque de volatilit\u00e9 maitris\u00e9e :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Le rendement offert par le portefeuille 2024 est d\u00e9sormais proche de 5,9% en USD (environ 5% en EUR), pour une duration inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 2,9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Le fonds entre dans sa seconde phase de vie, et devrait donc voir le prix des obligations en portefeuille converger vers leur prix de rachat. Sa volatilit\u00e9 devrait donc rester maitris\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Le portefeuille reste positionn\u00e9 sur des secteurs peu cycliques (t\u00e9l\u00e9coms 19%, alimentaire 12%, sant\u00e9 7%, media 4,5%) et tr\u00e8s bien diversifi\u00e9 en termes d&rsquo;\u00e9metteurs (124) et de risque pays (Top : Br\u00e9sil 12,1%, Chine 8,9%, Mexique 8,3%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Les \u00e9metteurs en portefeuille ont un \u00e9ch\u00e9ancier de dettes bien \u00e9tal\u00e9 dans le temps et une bonne situation de liquidit\u00e9. Leurs fondamentaux restent plus solides que jamais avec un endettement net moyen de 1,4x l&rsquo;EBITDA selon JP Morgan pour l&rsquo;univers des corporates \u00e9mergents. En outre, la majorit\u00e9 des \u00e9metteurs en portefeuille g\u00e9n\u00e8re une large part de leurs revenus en dollars ou en devises li\u00e9es au dollar, ce qui att\u00e9nue le risque en cas d&rsquo;affaiblissement des devises \u00e9mergentes. Les taux de d\u00e9faut devraient quant \u00e0 eux rester faibles, avec une croissance mondiale certes ralentie par rapport \u00e0 2021, mais toujours sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la tendance de long terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Enfin, le durcissement de la politique mon\u00e9taire aux Etats-Unis ne doit pas occulter le fait que les taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eats r\u00e9els (taux nominal &#8211; inflation) resteront n\u00e9gatifs dans la plupart des principales \u00e9conomies en 2022, ce qui b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie traditionnellement aux segments les plus r\u00e9mun\u00e9rateurs de l&rsquo;obligataire. Dans le m\u00eame temps, la banque centrale chinoise poursuivra les mesures accommodantes d\u00e9but\u00e9es ces derni\u00e8res semaines, afin de stimuler l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"427\" src=\"https:\/\/fervent-galileo.51-75-243-206.plesk.page\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Street-Finale-1024x427.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10913\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fervent-galileo.51-75-243-206.plesk.page\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Street-Finale-1024x427.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/fervent-galileo.51-75-243-206.plesk.page\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Street-Finale-300x125.jpg 300w, https:\/\/fervent-galileo.51-75-243-206.plesk.page\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Street-Finale-768x320.jpg 768w, https:\/\/fervent-galileo.51-75-243-206.plesk.page\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Street-Finale.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les obligations d&rsquo;entreprises des pays \u00e9mergents ont connu ces derniers mois une correction, qui s&rsquo;est encore acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e en ce d\u00e9but d&rsquo;ann\u00e9e 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fonds"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Point d&#039;entr\u00e9e sur les obligations d&#039;entreprises des pays \u00e9mergents ? - Anaxis 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